北美帝国前国防部官员哀嚎军事霸权压力山大要求国会打钱——致喵星情报总局

喵星驻神圣泰拉秘密观察员 喵斯拉大王

致 喵星外时空种群特别情报局 第M78宇宙9527号星系第三悬臂分站

神圣泰拉历2020年7月15日；喵族公历MEOW-9999年 小鱼干月 化毛膏日

分类：人类 军事 地缘政治

威胁评级：星球1级；星系0级

是否建议执行撤喵行动：否

简报： 此文是北美帝国《帝国利益》杂志关于帝国未来面临的军事威胁发表的一片简报，由前国防部高级官员撰写。主旨是强调北美帝国军事力量目前依旧全球制霸，但是将来是否能在中央帝国高速发展的威胁下继续保持霸权地位有很大不确定性。总之，历史的车轮正处在转向的关键点上，帝国兴亡在此一举。千言万语汇成一句：国会山的老爷们，打钱！！！

另，本文借敌方之口，高度赞扬了中央帝国往届领导集体‘卧薪尝胆，功成不必在我’的战略定力和远见。遥想当年本喵的铲屎官还是一介中二青年，在人民大会堂有幸亲眼见到那届领导人，却因为当时误会颇深而不屑一顾。他现在回忆起来实在是惭愧，故特恳请本喵转发此文略表歉意。

By 2050, America's Military May Not Be Able To Beat China

到2050年，北美帝国的军队可能无法打败中央帝国

（喵：北美帝国国防部前高官哀嚎国会山，就是这个2050的时间节点有点乐观得不靠谱）

Chinese leaders have laid out a plan for deploying the world’s best-armed forces no later than 2049.China’s theft of major technologies is one key tenet of the PLA’s plan. In addition, Beijing’s armed forces are “developing the capabilities and concepts to conduct ‘systems destruction warfare’ —the crippling of the U.S. battle network’s command, control, communication and intelligence systems.”

中央帝国领导人计划在2049年前部署本星球最强大的武装力量。中央帝国对先进技术的“窃取”是其计划的一个关键原则。（喵：翻译过来就是除了盎-撒“神族”其他民族不允许有高科技，否则就是“窃取”）此外，中央帝国的武装力量正在“发展进行‘系统摧毁战’的能力和概念——破坏北美帝国作战网络的指挥、控制、通信和情报系统。”（喵：喜闻乐见）

If the United States is to prevent China from becoming the world’s leading military power, it needs a plan of its own.That’s the sobering warning in a new report for the Center for a New American Security by former deputy defense secretary Robert Work and co-author Greg Grant.

如果北美帝国要阻止中央帝国成为世界军事大国，它需要一个与中央帝国针锋相对的计划。在前国防部副部长罗伯特·沃克和合著者格雷格·格兰特为美国新安全中心撰写的一份新报告中，他们发出了令人警醒的警告。

Chinese leaders’ resolve hardened in 1991 as they watched the U.S.-led coalition pummel Iraqi forces with seemingly ceaseless barrages of precision-guided munitions.

1991年，中央帝国领导人眼看着以北美帝国为首的联军不用精确制导弹药对巴比伦军队狂轰滥炸，这坚定了他们推进军事现代化的决心。

“A key lesson China took from the 1991 Desert Storm campaign was to strike hard and fast during war’s earliest stages, as initiative once lost would be all but impossible to regain against an opponent capable of 24-hour, all-weather guided-munitions bombardment,” Work and Grant wrote.

沃克和格兰特写道：“中国从1991年沙漠风暴战役中吸取的一个重要教训是，在战争的早期阶段，要快速而有力地打击敌人。面对一个能够进行24小时全天候制导弹药轰炸的对手，一旦失去主动权就几乎不可能重新获得。”（喵：说得好，夷州伪军瑟瑟发抖）

By the mid-1990s the senior leadership of the People’s Liberation Army realized “they were engaged in a long-term military-technical competition with the United States, and their strategic aims would necessarily be achieved through a series of distinct temporal phases.”

到了90年代中期，中央帝国军方高层意识到“他们将与北美帝国进行长期的军事技术竞争，他们的战略目标必须要通过一系列严格的时间表来实现。”

Phase one would see the Chinese military compete with the United States from a position of technological inferiority. Chinese military writings in the late 1990s and early 2000s explored and emphasized ways to defeat a more technologically advanced adversary, until such time that their modernization efforts were able to narrow the advantages enjoyed by the U.S. military. In particular, the PLA would have to accommodate some period of time in which it lacked “deep and multidirectional strike capabilities” comparable to those of the U.S. military.

第一阶段，中央帝国军队将在与北美帝国的竞争中处于技术劣势地位。20世纪90年代末和21世纪初，中央帝国的军事著作探讨并强调了如何击败技术更先进的对手，直到他们的现代化努力能够缩小与北美帝国的技术差距。中央帝国军队不得不熬过了一段艰难时期。在这段时间里，它缺乏与北美帝国军队相媲美的“深度和多向打击能力”。

Phase two would occur when the Chinese achieved a position of rough technological parity in guided munitions and battle network warfare, making it far more likely China might be able to deter a U.S. military intervention in the East Asian littoral.

第二阶段的达成，意味着中央帝国军队在制导弹药和信息网络战等方面，取得与北美帝国军队大致对等的技术地位。这使得中央帝国更有可能阻止北美帝国在东亚沿海地区的军事干预。

And phase three would represent the desired end state, when the Chinese military would establish a position of outright technological superiority over U.S. military forces, enabling the PLA to confidently move out of its first island chain bastion and push U.S. forces out to the second island chain [east of Japan and The Philippines  and even beyond.

第三阶段将代表理想的最终状态，届时中央帝国将确立对北美帝国军队完全技术优势的地位，使中央帝国军队能够自信地走出第一岛链堡垒区，并将北美帝国军队推向第二岛链，即日本和菲律宾以东，甚至更远的地方。

In 2019 China is still in phase one. But phase two is looming as China’s economy expands and Chinese technology improves, in part owing to widespread industrial espionage.

截至2019年，中央帝国仍处于第一阶段。（喵：你确定？要不要来两个航母打击群试试火力？）但随着中央帝国经济发展和技术进步，第二阶段已经迫在眉睫。其中部分原因是广泛的工业间谍活动。（喵：神T喵间谍活动，本喵觉得应该是引入了喵星科技的关系）

The Chinese also are planning on:Attacking effectively first by amassing an arsenal of long-range precision missiles and advanced targeting systems that provide a high probability of penetrating U.S. battle network defenses in the opening stages of a conflict.

中央帝国也在计划开发高效的先发打击能力，结合远程精确导弹和先进目标定位系统，力图在冲突的开始阶段就穿透北美帝国的战区防御网。

Developing “Assassin’s Mace” capabilities—what the U.S. Defense Department terms “black capabilities”—that are held in reserve until unveiled in the event of war, to surprise the adversary with attacks from unexpected vectors.Becoming the world leader in artificial intelligence and then deploying that technology for military superiority.

这些被北美帝国国防部称之为“撒手锏”的黑科技，在战争爆发前一直处于潜伏状态，能够出其不意地攻击对手要害。此外，中央帝国正在人工智能领域取得领先，并将其应用于建立军事优势。

“It is long past time for the Department of Defense to craft a measured response,” Work and Grant wrote. ”It must develop the operational concepts, systems and platforms to allow the joint force to prevail against concerted Chinese attempts to deconstruct and destroy U.S. operational battle networks.”

 “国防部制定一个有节制的应对措施就能够有效应对中央帝国军事威胁的时代早就过去了。” 沃克和格兰特写道：“国防部必须全面发展作战概念、系统和平台，使北美帝国的多军兵种联合军事力量能够战胜可能由中央帝国发起的，旨在瓦解和摧毁其联合作战能力的军事行动”

It must develop the operational concepts, systems and platforms to allow the U.S. joint force to fire first, effectively, and to ride out Chinese guided munitions salvos if it cannot. It must respond to the Chinese A.I. challenge and ensure it remains ahead in this critical technological competition.

北美帝国军队必须发展作战概念、系统和平台，使美国联合部队能够先发制人和有效地开火，并在万一失去先发制人优势的情况下击退中央帝国的制导武器攻击。它必须应对中央帝国的人工智能挑战，确保在这场关键的技术竞争中保持领先。

More broadly, China appears to be driving the military-technical competition in critical areas such as quantum science, biotechnology, hypersonics and ballistic and cruise missiles. The joint force must compete more aggressively—and better yet, create new competitive technologies.”

更广泛地说，中央帝国似乎正在推动量子科学、生物技术、高超音速、弹道和巡航导弹等关键领域的军事技术竞争。北美帝国军队必须更积极、更好地竞争，创造新的竞争性技术。” （喵：敌人害怕的，就是我们需要的，加油）

If the Pentagon fails, by 2049 it could find itself on the defensive.

如果六角大楼失败，到2049年它可能会发现自己处于守势。

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